Thinking

Why Dealerships Are Ten Years Behind — And What It Takes to Catch Up

I. The Treadmill

The first week of every month inside a dealership looks the same. The OEM has a new program. Incentives shifted. A new tariff landed on imports. The last month's hero is this month's headache. Managers rework their forecasts before lunch. Salespeople relearn pricing before their first customer. The plan from 30 days ago is already obsolete.

This isn't chaos. This is the operating system.

The entire business runs on 30-day cycles dictated by manufacturers, tariff regimes, inventory allocations, and market forces that nobody in the building controls. Which means the dealership doesn't build momentum — it restarts. And when you restart every 30 days, you can't stack wins. You can't commit to a long-term strategy. You can't even tell what's working, because by the time the data is legible the incentives have changed and the baseline moved with them.

What looks like strategy from inside is really reaction. What looks like a team is really a collection of individuals chasing a monthly number. What looks like growth is really a tread — the same ground, covered again, every thirty days.

None of this is the dealer's fault. The treadmill was built for them, by an industry structure fifty years older than anyone currently operating inside it. But it's still a treadmill. And treading is how you fall a decade behind without ever noticing you stopped.

II. Credit where it's due

Before I go any further, let me say what dealers actually do well — because it's more than most industry commentary admits.

Franchise dealers have absorbed more operational shock in the last five years than most retail categories absorb in twenty. Chip shortages. Inventory collapses. Interest-rate whiplash. EV transition mandates. Software platforms that break every fourth Tuesday. A generational talent shortage. Regulators inventing new F&I rules every quarter. Most dealers held their stores open through all of it, kept their staff employed, and still hit their numbers when their OEM pulled half their allocation.

Dealers are not stupid. They're not lazy. Most of them are the smartest, hardest-working operators in their local economies, and many are genuine community institutions — the biggest local employer in a lot of small markets, the anchor sponsor of every minor-league team, the family name on the community center wall.

The problem I'm describing isn't an intelligence problem or an effort problem. It's a system problem. The system works people hard enough that they don't have time to rebuild the system. That's worth saying clearly before I say anything else.

III. Five symptoms of the treadmill

Once you know what to look for, the treadmill shows up the same way in almost every store. Not as failures of individuals — as predictable symptoms of a reset-driven business. Five of them do most of the damage.

Symptom one — labor gets thrown at broken processes. The BDC is slow on follow-up, so we hire another BDC rep. The showroom is losing ups, so we put a greeter on the door. The CRM data is dirty, so we hire a data-entry contractor. None of these are necessarily wrong in isolation — sometimes you legitimately need more labor because volume grew. The symptom isn't the hire. The symptom is that the process underneath never gets rebuilt. We keep staffing around the problem instead of fixing the problem.

Symptom two — the customer bends to the dealership's process, not the other way around. A shopper asks for pricing by text. We tell them to come in. They ask what their trade is worth by email. We say we need to see it in person. They ask about financing online. We want them to "sit down and run numbers." Every friction point has a dealership-centric reason to exist. Every step is designed for how we want to sell, not for how the customer now buys. Then we wonder why conversion keeps falling.

Symptom three — tolerance of misses. Meetings that start 30 minutes late. Follow-ups that don't happen. Returned calls that don't get returned. The bar ends up being whatever doesn't immediately catch fire. This is the hardest one to talk about honestly, because staffing a showroom in 2024 is genuinely brutal — the talent pool is thin, turnover is 67% for non-luxury sales2, and every principal I know has had to keep a B-player because the A-player didn't apply. But a shallow talent pool doesn't mean the standards shrink. It means the standards are harder to defend, and have to be defended anyway.

Symptom four — the brand is the OEM's brand. The ads are the OEM's ads. The offers are the OEM's offers. The website template is what every other dealer of that brand uses. This isn't laziness — OEM co-op dollars typically only reimburse when you follow brand standards, and the franchise agreement explicitly requires it. That's a real constraint, and any honest conversation about this has to acknowledge it. The answer isn't to reject OEM creative. It's to build a layer of dealer-owned voice that sits on top of OEM-compliant foundations — your own reputation story, your own service narrative, your own community footprint, your own customer voice. Most dealers run OEM assets and stop there.

Symptom five — end-of-month behavior sabotages next month's margin. It's the 29th. The manager needs two more units to hit an OEM stair-step bonus that pays $40,000 in backend money for missing the tier by a single car3. So we drop the last deal $3,000 under market to close it. The customer takes it. The deal funds. And that price gets indexed across the market because modern shoppers compare instantly across every dealer within 200km. The dealer down the street sees it. The customer who walked away last week sees it. Next month, the pricing floor is $3,000 lower for everyone.

This one is the clearest case where the dealer is not the villain — the OEM incentive structure is. Stair-step bonuses reward exactly the panic behavior that destroys the local market. When I say we have to hold pricing discipline, I'm not saying "ignore the bonus." I'm saying we need to plan toward the tier, not react to the last day of the month. Two different operating mindsets. The second one is a trap built by the manufacturer.

IV. What the dealers who are pulling ahead actually do

You don't have to guess who's doing this right. A few names come up again and again.

Ken Garff Automotive Group has run a "We Hear You" transparent-pricing campaign for years, at a time when most of the industry was still running "Lowest Price of the Year" on a loop.4 They built a customer-facing brand that a Ken Garff customer knows they're buying from — not the OEM. They didn't abandon OEM creative. They built their own voice on top of it, loud enough that it reached the customer before the OEM's did.

Lithia & Driveway has bet the company on tech-forward digital retail. Their Driveway platform lets a customer configure, finance, and close a deal entirely online, delivered home, with the same unit count showing up on the dealership's books.5 They didn't replace the salespeople with software. They moved the salespeople to the seats where they mattered — trust, objections, closing — and let software do qualification and logistics.

I could add Galpin Motors in Los Angeles, who've built a showroom experience that's almost an entertainment destination. Or Morrey Auto Group here in Vancouver, who went all-in on a one-price, fixed-price model at a time when most competitors were still fighting over the last $500 at the desk. They made a clear, defensible promise — the price on the window is the price you pay — and built the entire sales experience around honoring it. (Disclosure: Dealer Ignition helped build that campaign.) The pattern is the same across all of them.

Three things they have in common:

  1. Pricing discipline that holds through end-of-month pressure. They plan toward OEM tiers instead of reacting to them. They know a $3,000 discount today costs them $30,000 in margin across the next year.
  2. A dealer-owned brand layer on top of OEM assets. Not rejection of co-op. Addition to it.
  3. Technology used as amplification, not replacement. Their best salespeople still do what humans do. Their software handles the rest, and talks to itself across systems instead of living in silos.

V. Why catching up is structurally hard

I said earlier that mindset is the problem. That was half right. The other half is structural, and any serious diagnosis has to name it.

OEM programs change monthly. You can't build a twelve-month campaign strategy on top of a thirty-day pricing system. Some of that is on the industry to push back on.

The DMS ecosystem is hostile. Reynolds & Reynolds and CDK between them run most dealerships' core systems, and the integration economics punish dealers who try to connect modern software to them. Integration fees run $500–2,000 per month per integration.6 Switching providers is an eighteen-month project. This is a real reason good tech doesn't make it into showrooms.

Compensation plans actively reward the wrong behavior. Commission-based pay structures incentivize salespeople to close this deal today at any price, because their paycheque depends on it. Telling a salesperson to hold the line on pricing when their mortgage payment is riding on next week's commission is asking them to act against their own interest. Until pay plans move toward hybrid base-plus-performance models tied to customer lifetime value instead of unit gross, the symptom keeps showing up.

And yes, there's a mindset layer on top of all of it. The herd is still running. Changing the playbook looks like risk when the risk is judged on a 30-day window. Nothing about that is irrational — it's just the predictable output of a system that punishes patience.

Saying "it's all mindset" lets the system off the hook. It isn't all mindset. But at some point, one dealer has to decide to break the pattern, and then the pattern breaks for the dealers who watch them do it.

VI. What's changed while the industry stood still

Here's the number that should land hardest.

Twenty years ago, the average North American car buyer visited roughly five dealerships before they bought. Today, it's fewer than two.7

They compressed their journey by more than 60%. They now spend the majority of their shopping time online — researching, comparing, configuring — and less than two hours in a showroom. The customer has already decided 90% of what a salesperson used to decide: brand, model, trim, options, ballpark payment, competing dealers. By the time they walk in, the only real question left is where they buy, not what.

The gap isn't on the showroom floor. It's on the other fourteen hours we didn't see.

While most of the industry wasn't looking, the big groups noticed. Lithia, Asbury, Group 1, Penske, AutoNation — public groups now own about ten percent of franchised dealerships8 and are growing share consistently. They don't need to run better dealerships. They run longer than independents can, because they have capital access, data scale, and patience that a single-store operator doesn't.

None of this is apocalypse. Most dealers will still be here in five years. But the dealers who don't close the gap will either get bought, consolidated, or spend the next decade watching their margin compress while the gap widens.

VII. What it takes to close the gap in twelve months

Three moves do most of the work. Here's what they actually look like on Monday morning.

Move one — map your sales process end to end, in public, on a whiteboard. Every touchpoint, every handoff. Lead arrives → first response SLA → qualification questions → test drive flow → pencil → close → delivery → first service visit. For every step, answer: who owns this, what technology supports it, what is the SLA, what is the handoff protocol, and what happens if the SLA is missed. Most stores have never done this exercise. The ones that have find fifteen to twenty broken handoffs on the first pass.

Move two — pull your last ninety days of ad spend. Categorize every dollar as OEM-mandated, co-op-reimbursed, or dealer-controlled. You'll usually find 15 to 25% of spend is fully dealer-controlled. Redirect that portion away from "awareness" and toward high-intent audiences — in-market shoppers, comparison-stage leads, lost leads from the last 180 days. Measure it on attributed closed units, not cost per lead. That one move shifts $50,000 to $200,000 of monthly spend from ambient to strategic.

Move three — audit your standards against your stated culture. Pull the last month's sales meeting attendance and punctuality. Pull the last month's customer follow-up SLA compliance. Where those diverge is your standards gap — and it's visible to every customer who walks through your door, even if it isn't visible to you.

None of these are comfortable. None are complicated. And none of them cost what dealers have historically spent on the vendors that promised to solve them.

VIII. The sentence that makes principals pause

When I say this to a dealer principal — any principal, at any group, anywhere in North America — it stops them:

A decade ago, you could get away with being the same as every other dealer on the block. Today, being the same is the slowest route to getting bought.

The silence after is usually the first honest moment of the conversation.

Not because they don't know. Because knowing hasn't made anyone change. Because changing feels like risk when the herd is still running, and the herd is still running because nobody stops.

Somebody has to stop. And the dealerships that do will own the next decade. The ones that don't will get bought, consolidated, or closed.

The question isn't whether the industry will catch up. It's whether you'll still be here when it does.


References

  1. Driving Dealership Growth: Unlocking the Keys to Automotive Marketing Victory (Steve Baylis, 2023). Available on Amazon.
  2. NADA Dealership Workforce Study. Recent years have reported turnover in the 55–70% range for non-luxury sales consultants.
  3. OEM stair-step bonus structures vary by manufacturer, but $30K–$100K swings on tier thresholds are routine at mid-volume stores.
  4. Ken Garff Automotive Group, "We Hear You" campaign — launched publicly 2012, ongoing. Widely cited in industry press (Automotive News, NADA speakers).
  5. Lithia Motors, Driveway platform — publicly disclosed in Lithia's investor communications (LAD, NYSE).
  6. DMS integration fees — well-documented in industry reporting (Automotive News coverage of CDK/Reynolds data access disputes, 2022–2024).
  7. Cox Automotive Car Buyer Journey. 2024 edition available at coxautoinc.com/market-insights.
  8. NADA/NIADA dealer count data. Public group market share has moved from ~5% in 2010 to ~10% in 2023.

Author's note: I'm the founder of Ignition Labs, parent of Dealer Ignition (marketing agency) and Diablo AI (dealership operating system). Which means I have a commercial interest in dealers doing the things I just argued they should do. I've tried to be transparent about that. If any of this rings true, the argument stands on its own merit; if not, a healthy skepticism about vendor-authored thought pieces is exactly the right instinct to bring to it.

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